All The News That Fits

Is Global Warming Theory in its Death Throes?

Posted by Nancy on January 24, 2009

When the weather won’t cooperate and those who think your theory is a joke are on the ascendancy, it might be time to admit the science on global warming isn’t settled.

Following the January thaw, which came right on schedule in my area this week, we are back into the single digits again tonight.  In fact, we are averaging about 7.5° below last year for the month of January. 

Some scientists expect the cooling to continue for years.

Weather is really making news in the United Arab Emirates.  They don’t even have a word in the local dialect for what has happened there. Watch the first minute or so of this clip on YouTube – you won’t be able to understand a word he’s saying, but that’s okay.  All you need is the visual.

The United Arab Emirates, on the southeast coast of the Arabian peninsula, with snow?

RAS AL KHAIMAH // Snow covered the Jebel Jais area for only the second time in recorded history yesterday.

So rare was the event that one lifelong resident said the local dialect had no word for it.

According to the RAK Government, temperatures on Jebel Jais dropped to -3°C on Friday night. On Saturday, the area had reached 1°C.

Major Saeed Rashid al Yamahi, a helicopter pilot and the manager of the Air Wing of RAK Police, said the snow covered an area of five kilometres and was 10cm deep.

“The sight up there this morning was totally unbelievable, with the snow-capped mountain and the entire area covered with fresh, dazzling white snow,” Major al Yamahi said.

“The snowfall started at 3pm Friday, and heavy snowing began at 8pm and continued till midnight, covering the entire area in a thick blanket of snow. Much of the snow was still there even when we flew back from the mountain this afternoon. It is still freezing cold up there and there are chances that it might snow again tonight.” The National in Abu Dhabi

Are incidences of colder than normal temperature related in any way to the fact the Average Magnetic Planetary Index, a good indicator of the sun’s activity, continues to sink lower?  The following graph aligns solar cycles since 1932 by their minima, and we are coming out of cycle 23.  That is the blue line on the bottom.  Notice it is about four points weaker than cycle 16-17, the weakest prior to the current one.

archibald_ap-index

Can it be getting cooler on earth because the sun is less active? 

Meanwhile, a report authored by Eric Steig et al came out this week claiming Antarctica is getting warmer.  It is an unusual paper, if for no other reason than his conclusion that the area is warming at the rate of 0.25° every 25 years, with a margin of error of 2-3°.  I’m not a scientist, but I know that if your margin of error is ten times greater than your conclusion, your data is worthless.

Steig’s conclusions are disputed by Ross Hays, a former CNN meteorologist who now works for NASA.

Eric,

Let me first say that this is my own opinion and does not represent the agency I work for. I feel your study is absolutely wrong.

There are very few stations in Antarctica to begin with and only a hand full with 50 years of data. Satellite data is just approaching thirty years of available information.  In my experience as a day to day forecaster that has to travel and do field work in Antarctica the summer seasons have been getting colder. In the late 1980s helicopters were used to take our personnel to Williams Field from McMurdo Station due to the annual receding of the Ross Ice Shelf, but in the past few years the thaw has been limited and vehicles can continue to make the transition and drive on the ice. One climate note to pass along is December 2006 was the coldest December ever for McMurdo Station. In a synoptic perspective the cooler sea surface temperatures have kept the maritime storms farther offshore in the summer season and the colder more dense air has rolled from the South Pole to the ice shelf.

There was a paper presented at the AMS Conference in New Orleans last year noting over 70% of the continent was cooling due to the ozone hole. We launch balloons into the stratosphere and the anticyclone that develops over the South Pole has been displaced and slow to establish itself over the past five seasons. The pattern in the troposphere has reflected this trend with more maritime (warmer) air around the Antarctic Peninsula which is also where most of the automated weather stations are located for West Antarctica which will give you the average warmer readings and skew the data for all of West Antarctica.

With statistics you can make numbers go to almost any conclusion you want. It saddens me to see members of the scientific community do this for media coverage.

Sincerely,

Ross Hays

Speaking of media coverage, the BBC is so desperate to promote global warming that they have spliced parts of Obama’s inaugural speech together out of order, to prove he supports saving the planet from global warming. 

Read the above paragraph again and think of the implications of  journalism sinking this low.  The BBC totally misrepresented what the new president of the United States said by taking phrases out of context, splicing them together, then not only playing it as if it were one continuous quote, but also commenting on it. 

This really is StinkyJournalism.  And when your promoters have to/are willing to resort to such dirty tricks, you have become a laughing stock.

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